Sierning vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 1
SIE
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
EFE
0 - 1
SIE
54%
24%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 4
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
NEU
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
BAD
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
BAD
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 2
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
BAD
31%
25%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |