Siena vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SIE
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 2
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 2
ROM
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MES
0 - 0
SIE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
REG
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRE
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
TRE
0 - 1
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 2
CHI
24%
28%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ACM
5 - 0
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | -1 |