Serie C Grupo A round 1

Siena vs Olbia Calcio analysis

Siena Olbia Calcio
55 ELO 49
-16.4% Tilt 9.3%
4164º General ELO ranking 5688º
143º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Siena
24.9%
Draw
18.5%
Olbia Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
Siena
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.5%
Win probability
Olbia Calcio
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Siena
-2%
+11%
Olbia Calcio

ELO progression

Siena
Olbia Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Siena
Siena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2019
SIE
Siena
0 - 2
Mantova
MAN
59%
24%
17%
56 47 9 0
12 May. 2019
SIE
Siena
0 - 1
Novara
NOV
46%
28%
26%
57 55 2 -1
04 May. 2019
SIE
Siena
2 - 0
Piacenza
PIA
34%
28%
38%
56 59 3 +1
27 Apr. 2019
NOV
Novara
2 - 2
Siena
SIE
45%
25%
30%
55 56 1 +1
18 Apr. 2019
SIE
Siena
3 - 0
Carrarese
CAR
36%
27%
37%
54 56 2 +1

Matches

Olbia Calcio
Olbia Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2019
OLB
Olbia Calcio
4 - 1
Rieti
RIE
33%
26%
42%
45 50 5 0
04 Aug. 2019
TER
Ternana Calcio
3 - 2
Olbia Calcio
OLB
58%
23%
20%
46 50 4 -1
04 May. 2019
OLB
Olbia Calcio
1 - 0
Pro Vercelli
LEO
22%
26%
53%
45 57 12 +1
27 Apr. 2019
PIA
Piacenza
3 - 2
Olbia Calcio
OLB
69%
20%
11%
45 59 14 0
18 Apr. 2019
OLB
Olbia Calcio
1 - 2
Novara
NOV
27%
28%
45%
46 56 10 -1