Siena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SIE
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 1
BOL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 1
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SIE
0 - 3
JUV
12%
23%
66%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 0
SIE
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LEC
3 - 4
UDI
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FIO
4 - 0
LEC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 2
INT
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MES
1 - 4
LEC
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |