Siegburger SV 04 vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-94%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
31
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 2
SCF
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BER
4 - 1
SIE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 1
SIE
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 1
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 3
PES
57%
20%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BGP
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BWF
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
5 - 0
BWF
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 1
BWF
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |