Shukura vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 3
SHU
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
WIT
3 - 1
SHU
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
SHU
2 - 3
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
SHU
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
SHU
0 - 2
DBA
43%
27%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
WIT
1 - 2
GAG
15%
18%
67%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GAG
5 - 1
TSK
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
WIT
2 - 0
GAG
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GAG
1 - 0
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
TEL
1 - 1
GAG
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |