Shurtan vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 1
MAS
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
XOR
1 - 1
SHO
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 0
OLM
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SHO
3 - 2
FKL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BUX
1 - 2
SHO
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
SCA
1 - 0
NEF
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NEF
3 - 1
BUX
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AND
3 - 2
NEF
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
NEF
5 - 4
SCA
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
NEF
0 - 2
PAK
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |