Shonan Bellmare vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 0
SHO
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
AAB
3 - 2
SHO
68%
21%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 1
MAC
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GIF
1 - 1
SHO
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AVI
2 - 1
SHO
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
THE
1 - 4
VVA
16%
25%
59%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 1
KAM
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MIT
0 - 2
VVA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 2
VVA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VVA
1 - 1
NAG
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |