J1 League Round 28

Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis

Shonan Bellmare Kawasaki Frontale
76 ELO 83
-7.1% Tilt -5.8%
469º General ELO ranking 402º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.8%
Shonan Bellmare
24.4%
Draw
49.8%
Kawasaki Frontale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
Shonan Bellmare
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.8%
Win probability
Kawasaki Frontale
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Shonan Bellmare
Their league position
Kawasaki Frontale
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
18º
15º
50
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
71
71
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
64
64
100%
Urawa Reds
57
57
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56
56
100%
Kashima Antlers
52
52
0%
Nagoya Grampus
52
52
100%
Avispa Fukuoka
52
52
0%
Kawasaki Frontale
50
50
100%
Cerezo Osaka
49
49
100%
Albirex Niigata
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC Tokyo
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Kyoto Sanga
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Sagan Tosu
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
34
34
15º
0%
Gamba Osaka
16º
34
34
16º
0%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Yokohama
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shonan Bellmare
Kawasaki Frontale
Champion
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 100%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Shonan Bellmare
Kawasaki Frontale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shonan Bellmare
Shonan Bellmare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
70%
18%
12%
76 82 6 0
02 Sep. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
2 - 2
Kashima Antlers
KAA
32%
27%
41%
76 82 6 0
30 Aug. 2023
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
3 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
54%
24%
22%
77 81 4 -1
25 Aug. 2023
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
34%
28%
38%
77 82 5 0
19 Aug. 2023
GAM
Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
55%
24%
21%
77 80 3 0

Matches

Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2023
JOH
Johor FC
0 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
17%
20%
63%
83 61 22 0
15 Sep. 2023
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
1 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
50%
25%
26%
82 82 0 +1
02 Sep. 2023
CER
Cerezo Osaka
3 - 0
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
39%
25%
36%
82 82 0 0
30 Aug. 2023
ALB
Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
31%
24%
45%
82 76 6 0
26 Aug. 2023
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
2 - 2
Consadole Sapporo
CON
42%
24%
34%
82 82 0 0