Shkupi vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
6 - 0
VOK
60%
21%
20%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
SIL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
SHK
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
SHK
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
SIL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
TIK
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 2
FCS
6%
14%
80%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |