Shkumbini Peqin vs Devolli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
12º
7º
31
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkumbini Peqin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
ALB
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MEM
0 - 0
SHK
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 2
BUT
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 3
DEL
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 3
SHK
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 2
ELB
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
DEV
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 2
POG
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MEM
0 - 1
DEV
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DEV
4 - 1
LUF
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |