Shirak vs Kotayk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
MIK
2 - 1
SHI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
SHI
3 - 4
KIL
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DYE
0 - 1
SHI
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
52%
22%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SHI
2 - 2
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kotayk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
KOT
0 - 2
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 1
KOT
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
PYU
3 - 1
KOT
82%
12%
6%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
KOT
1 - 3
MIK
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
KIL
1 - 0
KOT
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |