Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 0
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 1
SHI
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SHI
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
1 - 0
SHI
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
CER
2 - 2
SHI
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
GAM
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 1
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
ALB
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
OMI
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KAW
1 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |