Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
14º
12º
51
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
BEI
6 - 2
SHI
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 4
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
SHA
12%
21%
66%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
DAL
1 - 1
SHI
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
SHI
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 5
WFC
19%
26%
56%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
WFC
3 - 3
CBC
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
WFC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
HEN
1 - 1
WFC
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WFC
0 - 0
HAN
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |