Chinese Super League Round 16

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Guangzhou FC analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Guangzhou FC
68 ELO 79
1.5% Tilt -4.3%
28577º General ELO ranking 20508º
111º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
29.4%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
27.6%
Draw
43%
Guangzhou FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
+10%
+27%
Guangzhou FC

ELO progression

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Guangzhou FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2015
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1 - 1
Shandong Taishan
SHA
35%
28%
37%
68 76 8 0
21 Jun. 2015
GUI
Beijing Renhe
0 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
54%
26%
20%
68 70 2 0
03 Jun. 2015
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2 - 2
Shanghái Port
SHA
40%
30%
31%
68 76 8 0
30 May. 2015
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
0 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
52%
26%
22%
68 67 1 0
22 May. 2015
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0 - 0
Zhejiang FC
HAN
50%
27%
24%
68 69 1 0

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2015
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 0
Beijing Guoan
BEI
61%
22%
18%
79 78 1 0
20 Jun. 2015
SHA
Shandong Taishan
1 - 2
Guangzhou FC
GUA
44%
24%
33%
79 77 2 0
04 Jun. 2015
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
62%
20%
18%
79 73 6 0
31 May. 2015
GUA
Guangzhou FC
3 - 0
Beijing Renhe
GUI
70%
18%
12%
78 71 7 +1
27 May. 2015
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 0
Seongnam FC
SEO
58%
23%
19%
78 79 1 0