Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
12º
56
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
QIN
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
6 - 1
SHI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HEN
6 - 0
SHI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
MEI
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
KLA
0 - 1
BEI
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BEI
0 - 0
SLP
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 3
BEI
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 3
CBC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |