Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-1
Sheriff vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
SHF
2 - 0
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 2
SHF
10%
21%
70%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
SHF
2 - 1
COS
74%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
ZIM
0 - 2
SHF
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SHF
3 - 0
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
LOV
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 3
BUD
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FKC
1 - 0
SUT
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 1
RUD
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRB
1 - 1
SUT
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |