Shepshed vs Worksop Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 3
SHE
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
0 - 1
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SHE
6 - 1
LEE
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +4 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
3 - 0
KMW
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
RAI
0 - 1
SHE
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Worksop Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 3
SHE
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
HIN
85%
9%
6%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
RET
1 - 1
WOR
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
2 - 2
WOR
8%
12%
80%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
ASH
85%
9%
6%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |