Shepshed vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
SHE
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
LEE
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 6
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
SUT
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
SHE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
RAI
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 1
KID
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 2
GOO
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |