Shepshed vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
RET
1 - 0
SHE
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
NAN
4 - 2
SHE
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
KID
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
STO
3 - 0
SHE
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
SHE
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
QUO
4 - 2
CAR
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
QUO
0 - 2
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
QUO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
QUO
0 - 3
SHE
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
QUO
2 - 0
SHE
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |