Shepshed vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAM
4 - 2
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 1
ROU
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
WOS
6 - 3
SHE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
OSS
3 - 2
SHE
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 0
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
STO
39%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SKE
1 - 2
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |