Chinese Super League 9th to 16th Place Final
Global 4-1
Shenzhen FC vs Qingdao FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
QIN
0 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 2
SHE
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
1 - 0
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
1 - 1
TIT
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
TIT
2 - 0
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
QIN
0 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
QIN
2 - 1
WUZ
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
WUZ
2 - 1
QIN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
QIN
61%
20%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
QIN
0 - 0
GUA
42%
24%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |