League One round 27

Shenzhen FC vs Fujian analysis

Shenzhen FC Fujian
59 ELO 60
8.5% Tilt -4.5%
17967º General ELO ranking 19063º
82º Country ELO ranking 97º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Shenzhen FC
25.4%
Draw
23.1%
Fujian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
Fujian
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Shenzhen FC
Fujian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
SHE
Shenzhen FC
5 - 3
Chongqing Liangjiang
CHO
44%
25%
31%
58 61 3 0
15 Sep. 2012
GUA
Guangdong
1 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
48%
25%
27%
58 56 2 0
01 Sep. 2012
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 2
Beijing Technology
BIT
68%
20%
13%
59 51 8 -1
25 Aug. 2012
CHE
Chengdu Blades
2 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
51%
25%
24%
60 60 0 -1
18 Aug. 2012
SHE
Shenzhen FC
2 - 0
Shaoxing Keqiao Yuejia
HAR
56%
25%
20%
59 57 2 +1

Matches

Fujian
Fujian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2012
FUJ
Fujian
1 - 0
Chongqing
CHO
54%
25%
21%
60 56 4 0
15 Sep. 2012
CHO
Chongqing Liangjiang
1 - 0
Fujian
FUJ
51%
26%
23%
60 60 0 0
11 Sep. 2012
HAR
Shaoxing Keqiao Yuejia
0 - 2
Fujian
FUJ
50%
26%
25%
59 58 1 +1
01 Sep. 2012
FUJ
Fujian
1 - 0
Tianjin Tianhai
TIA
46%
27%
27%
59 60 1 0
25 Aug. 2012
GUA
Guangdong
1 - 5
Fujian
FUJ
54%
23%
23%
57 57 0 +2