League One Round 20

Shenzhen FC vs Beijing BSU analysis

Shenzhen FC Beijing BSU
60 ELO 58
13.1% Tilt 2.8%
19524º General ELO ranking 20580º
83º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
63.2%
Shenzhen FC
21.8%
Draw
15.1%
Beijing BSU

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
Beijing BSU
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shenzhen FC
-57%
-5%
Beijing BSU

ELO progression

Shenzhen FC
Beijing BSU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2013
YON
Yongchang Junhao
2 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
44%
27%
29%
61 60 1 0
27 Jul. 2013
HAR
Shaoxing Keqiao Yuejia
1 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
53%
24%
23%
61 62 1 0
20 Jul. 2013
GUA
Guangdong
3 - 2
Shenzhen FC
SHE
55%
23%
22%
61 63 2 0
14 Jul. 2013
HUB
Xinjiang Tianshan
4 - 1
Shenzhen FC
SHE
28%
28%
44%
63 52 11 -2
07 Jul. 2013
HEN
Henan FC
1 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
53%
25%
22%
63 67 4 0

Matches

Beijing BSU
Beijing BSU
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2013
BEI
Beijing BSU
3 - 1
Chengdu Blades
CHE
47%
26%
27%
57 56 1 0
27 Jul. 2013
CHO
Chongqing
2 - 1
Beijing BSU
BEI
39%
28%
33%
58 51 7 -1
22 Jul. 2013
BEI
Beijing BSU
2 - 1
Beijing Technology
BIT
55%
25%
21%
57 53 4 +1
14 Jul. 2013
YAN
Yanbian Longding
1 - 1
Beijing BSU
BEI
41%
28%
32%
57 51 6 0
07 Jul. 2013
SHE
Shenyang Shenbei
2 - 2
Beijing BSU
BEI
54%
26%
20%
57 58 1 0