Shenzhen Pengcheng vs Yunnan Lijiang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen Pengcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HBS
1 - 0
SHP
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SHP
1 - 0
SDO
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 1
SHP
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SHP
1 - 1
JIA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SJF
0 - 3
SHP
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Yunnan Lijiang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIJ
8 - 0
SHS
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ZHH
2 - 1
LIJ
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LIJ
2 - 0
FTF
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
HBF
2 - 0
LIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LIJ
1 - 4
SIC
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |