Shenyang Shenbei vs Guangdong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenyang Shenbei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
QIN
4 - 0
SHE
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHE
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SHE
3 - 2
BEI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LIA
2 - 0
SHE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
SHA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEI
2 - 2
GUA
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SIC
2 - 2
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
4 - 0
PUD
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |