Shanghái Port vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
2º
9
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 63 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 62 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 51 |
5º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
12º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 26 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 22 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
23% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 1
SJF
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 2
YFM
48%
21%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
VIS
4 - 0
SHA
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 3
SHA
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 2
SHA
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CHA
29%
22%
49%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHO
57%
20%
22%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |