Sham Shui Po vs Tuen Mun FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 3
WIN
56%
21%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 0
SHA
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
SHA
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DOU
1 - 1
SHA
67%
18%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 4
TCS
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tuen Mun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TUE
0 - 4
HON
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
5 - 3
TUE
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HVA
7 - 1
TUE
86%
9%
4%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TUE
1 - 5
EAS
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DOU
2 - 1
TUE
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |