Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong U23 XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
9º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 2
RES
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
7 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
WAR
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 2
SHA
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 0
HKU
69%
19%
11%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HKU
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
SDI
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
0 - 3
WTP
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 2
SHA
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |