Shakhter Karagandy vs Kaysar Kyzylorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
13º
10º
36
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAQ
3 - 1
SHA
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 0
OKZ
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
SHA
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
ATY
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 1
SHA
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kaysar Kyzylorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
ZHE
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 3
ORD
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 2
KAI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 0
KAI
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |