Fiuggi vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiuggi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 2
SFF
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 3
SFF
35%
22%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 2
SAN
58%
20%
23%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
APR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
LRO
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
APR
1 - 1
LRO
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SSM
3 - 1
APR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |