Stern vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 2
SFC
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 2
BRA
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 4
FMS
45%
21%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCS
2 - 1
SFC
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 4
HZE
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NEU
1 - 1
MSV
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NEU
2 - 1
HAN
24%
21%
54%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MSV
0 - 0
NEU
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEU
1 - 2
BWB
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LAS
2 - 2
NEU
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |