Oberliga Niederrhein Round 17

SF Baumberg vs Velbert analysis

SF Baumberg Velbert
34 ELO 40
8.9% Tilt 18.4%
5145º General ELO ranking 2578º
249º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
23%
SF Baumberg
21.2%
Draw
55.7%
Velbert

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
SF Baumberg
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.7%
Win probability
Velbert
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SF Baumberg
-58%
+73%
Velbert

ELO progression

SF Baumberg
Velbert
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SF Baumberg
SF Baumberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
KRA
Kray
2 - 2
SF Baumberg
SFB
28%
22%
50%
31 25 6 0
13 Nov. 2016
SFB
SF Baumberg
3 - 3
Honnepel-Niedermörmter
HNI
68%
18%
14%
31 25 6 0
06 Nov. 2016
VFB
Homberg
4 - 2
SF Baumberg
SFB
32%
23%
45%
33 28 5 -2
29 Oct. 2016
SFB
SF Baumberg
3 - 0
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
DUS
50%
23%
27%
31 32 1 +2
23 Oct. 2016
KFC
KFC Uerdingen 05
0 - 0
SF Baumberg
SFB
67%
18%
15%
30 41 11 +1

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2016
VEL
Velbert
0 - 1
Schonnebeck
SCH
53%
24%
23%
43 40 3 0
13 Nov. 2016
VEL
Velbert
3 - 1
Kray
KRA
74%
16%
10%
42 26 16 +1
06 Nov. 2016
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
0 - 2
Velbert
VEL
13%
18%
69%
42 26 16 0
30 Oct. 2016
VEL
Velbert
4 - 0
Honnepel-Niedermörmter
HNI
74%
17%
9%
41 26 15 +1
23 Oct. 2016
KFI
Krefeld-Fischeln
2 - 2
Velbert
VEL
35%
22%
43%
41 36 5 0