SF Baumberg vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
1º
1º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
BSC
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SON
4 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
MEE
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 2
NET
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 1
WAT
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 2
MEE
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 1
FCV
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |