SF Baumberg vs SC Union Nettetal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
1º
1º
41
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 2
FCB
88%
8%
4%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 1
SFB
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 0
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
SFB
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Union Nettetal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 2
NET
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NET
1 - 1
STR
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
KLE
0 - 4
NET
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NET
3 - 4
TDV
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 3
NET
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |