Real Agro Aversa vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TER
1 - 0
RAA
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 0
RAA
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
RAA
3 - 1
USF
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +5 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAA
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 0
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 0
GAV
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
SOR
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 2
ASM
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |