Sevilla vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 4
SEV
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
SEV
9 - 1
SDF
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SEV
4 - 1
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 3
SEV
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RMA
5 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
RMA
4 - 2
KAA
94%
5%
1%
|
93 | 49 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 2
RMA
12%
17%
72%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 2
DEP
90%
8%
3%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |