Challenge League Round 26

Servette vs Winterthur analysis

Servette Winterthur
72 ELO 61
5.3% Tilt 8.6%
293º General ELO ranking 667º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Servette
22.3%
Draw
18.9%
Winterthur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Servette
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.9%
Win probability
Winterthur
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Servette
-6%
+6%
Winterthur

ELO progression

Servette
Winterthur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Servette
Servette
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2019
RAP
Rapperswil
1 - 2
Servette
SER
18%
24%
57%
71 57 14 0
10 Mar. 2019
SER
Servette
6 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
61%
22%
17%
71 60 11 0
01 Mar. 2019
FCA
Aarau
3 - 3
Servette
SER
35%
26%
40%
71 63 8 0
23 Feb. 2019
KRI
SC Kriens
0 - 3
Servette
SER
32%
26%
42%
70 62 8 +1
16 Feb. 2019
SER
Servette
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
60%
23%
18%
70 62 8 0

Matches

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2019
SCA
Austria Lustenau
1 - 5
Winterthur
WIN
42%
23%
35%
61 64 3 0
17 Mar. 2019
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
34%
26%
40%
62 64 2 -1
08 Mar. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
34%
26%
40%
63 61 2 -1
03 Mar. 2019
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
28%
26%
47%
63 70 7 0
23 Feb. 2019
CHI
Chiasso
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
24%
24%
52%
63 56 7 0