Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Servette vs Spartak Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.6%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.7%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
14.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
18%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.7%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.4%
0.9%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
SER
5 - 0
FCA
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
YER
0 - 2
SER
2%
12%
86%
|
83 | 10 | 73 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SER
3 - 1
THU
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
BAS
4 - 2
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
YER
0 - 2
SER
2%
12%
86%
|
10 | 83 | 73 | 0 |