Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
SER
1 - 3
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 3
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 5
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
SER
2 - 0
STG
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
BAS
0 - 0
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 0
DEL
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
STG
2 - 0
FCL
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
FCL
1 - 4
GCZ
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1999 |
LAU
5 - 1
FCL
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |