Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
ZUR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
SER
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 3
SER
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SER
4 - 1
YOB
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 1
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |