Sertãozinho vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FRA
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |