Sertanense vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 4
TON
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
OLE
88%
10%
3%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 3
OLE
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |