Serra Talhada vs Pesqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SER
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
SAL
32%
26%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
YPI
0 - 1
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
PES
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
PES
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
YPI
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |