Serra Talhada vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
34%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
20%
22%
59%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 1
NAU
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
YPI
82%
12%
5%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 4
NAU
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |