Carioca Série B1 1ra Fase. Jor. 6

Serra Macaense vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis

Serra Macaense Sampaio Corrêa RJ
34 ELO 36
0.4% Tilt -12.7%
22346º General ELO ranking 4041º
552º Country ELO ranking 135º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Serra Macaense
24.2%
Draw
28.4%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serra Macaense
-30%
+21%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ

ELO progression

Serra Macaense
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2018
BAR
Barra da Tijuca
2 - 0
Serra Macaense
SER
54%
25%
21%
35 39 4 0
02 Jun. 2018
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 1
Barcelona EC
BAR
60%
20%
20%
36 30 6 -1
23 May. 2018
AME
Americano
2 - 3
Serra Macaense
SER
68%
20%
12%
34 44 10 +2
20 May. 2018
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 1
América RJ
AME
31%
25%
44%
34 44 10 0
26 Aug. 2017
GOY
Goytacaz
5 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
58%
25%
17%
35 42 7 -1

Matches

Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2018
BAR
Barra da Tijuca
1 - 0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
53%
25%
22%
36 40 4 0
09 Jun. 2018
SAM
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 2
Americano
AME
37%
26%
37%
37 43 6 -1
03 Jun. 2018
SCR
Santa Cruz RJ
1 - 3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
10%
16%
74%
37 7 30 0
23 May. 2018
SAM
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
36%
26%
38%
36 42 6 +1
19 May. 2018
AFC
Artsul FC
0 - 1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
52%
23%
25%
35 35 0 +1
X