Serra Macaense vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
SER
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
AME
2 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GOY
5 - 1
SER
58%
25%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAM
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SCR
1 - 3
SAM
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
ANG
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |