Serra Macaense vs Nova Cidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BOA
3 - 4
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
BOA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +4 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AUD
0 - 1
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +3 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
PER
25%
23%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
NCI
2 - 2
DUQ
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
RIO
6 - 1
NCI
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 3
CIG
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 4
NCI
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
0 - 0
CEC
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |