Carioca Série B1 Fase de Grupos. Jor. 1

Serra Macaense vs Nova Cidade analysis

Serra Macaense Nova Cidade
45 ELO 27
-10.8% Tilt -10.3%
21127º General ELO ranking 39313º
536º Country ELO ranking 1098º
ELO win probability
71.3%
Serra Macaense
17.7%
Draw
11.1%
Nova Cidade

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.1%
Win probability
Nova Cidade
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serra Macaense
-57%
+15%
Nova Cidade

ELO progression

Serra Macaense
Nova Cidade
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
BOA
Boavista SC
3 - 4
Serra Macaense
SER
54%
24%
22%
45 49 4 0
24 Aug. 2022
SER
Serra Macaense
3 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
22%
24%
54%
41 51 10 +4
17 Aug. 2022
AUD
Audax Rio
0 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
55%
24%
21%
40 45 5 +1
10 Aug. 2022
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
26%
27%
47%
37 47 10 +3
24 Nov. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
1 - 1
Pérolas Negras
PER
25%
23%
51%
37 44 7 0

Matches

Nova Cidade
Nova Cidade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
2 - 2
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
32%
24%
44%
27 35 8 0
13 Nov. 2021
RIO
Rio Sao Paulo
6 - 1
Nova Cidade
NCI
35%
23%
42%
30 25 5 -3
06 Nov. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 3
7 de Abril
CIG
44%
23%
34%
31 28 3 -1
03 Nov. 2021
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
4 - 4
Nova Cidade
NCI
51%
23%
26%
31 36 5 0
30 Oct. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
0 - 0
Carapebus EC
CEC
51%
22%
27%
31 24 7 0
X