Serra Macaense vs Aperibeense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
GOY
0 - 0
SER
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
SER
0 - 1
FAC
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MES
0 - 1
SER
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SER
2 - 1
SCR
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aperibeense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 0
FAC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 2
AFC
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
AFC
2 - 2
GOY
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |