Sernancelhe vs Oliveira Frades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sernancelhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
SER
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
SCP
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
SER
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
TAR
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAT
1 - 0
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OFR
1 - 0
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
OFR
20%
21%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OFR
2 - 1
LAM
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 0
OFR
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OFR
0 - 0
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |