Sergipe vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
BOT
15%
23%
61%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OSE
3 - 1
DOR
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OSE
2 - 3
GUA
33%
25%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
1 - 2
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |